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Energy Supply

O45 scenarios

Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien

The O45 scenarios represent the conclusion of the current long-term scenarios. Based on the latest findings, we once again examine the solution space for a greenhouse gas-neutral Germany. The solution space is defined more narrowly than in the previous scenarios. The following scenarios are presented here:

  • O45 Strom
  • O45 H2

Electricity system

Germany

Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Stromsystem
Stromsystem

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Europe

Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild Stromsystem
Erkennungsbild Stromsystem

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Hydrogen system

Germany

Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Bild H2
Bild H2

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Europe

Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Bild H2
Bild H2

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Heat grids

Germany

Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Bild Wärmenetze
Bild Wärmenetze

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Europe

Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Symbolbild T45 Szenarien
Symbolbild T45 Szenarien

Many thanks to TU Wien for providing detailed data on the European building sector!

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Storage

Germany

Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Speicher
Speicher

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Europe

Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild O45-Strom-Szenarien
Speicher
Speicher

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Reports and Webinar

Webinar (in German)

Thank you for your interest! More than 320 participants took part in the webinar on the orientation scenarios. We have answered more than 100 questions in our Q&A channel and thank you for your very active participation!

Team

Frank Sensfuß
Frank Sensfuß

Dr. Frank Sensfuß

Co-lead modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Wolfgang Männer
Wolfgang Männer

Wolfgang Männer

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Benjamin Lux
Benjamin Lux

Benjamin Lux

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Christiane Bernath
Christiane Bernath

Christiane Bernath

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Gerda Deac
Gerda Deac

Dr. Gerda Deac

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Joshua Fragoso García
Joshua Fragoso García

Dr. Joshua Fragoso García

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Miriam Frömel
Miriam Frömel

Miriam Frömel

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Dr. Christoph Luderer
Dr. Christoph Luderer

Dr. Christoph Luderer

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

The model

Enertile Logo
Enertile Logo

The coverage of the energy demand is calculated with the Enertile model. You can find more information here.

Model version in these scenarios

Methodology: Linear optimization Objective function: Minimum system costs Properties: Perfect forecast Support years: 2025, 2030,2035,2040,2045

Size of the equation system: Approx. 40 GB, approx. 60 million rows, 72 million columns, approx. 272 million nonzeros

CategoryElectricityHeat gridsGebäude mit WärmepumpenBuildings with heat pumpsElectricity distribution grids
Geographic coverageEuropeEuropeEuropeEuropeGermany
Regions in total2323232311
Regions in Germany1111111111
Temporal resolution8760 h per year8760 h per year8760 h per year8760 h per yearApprox. 3200h per year
Weather year20102010201020102010

T45 Strom* scenarios

Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien

In the calculations of sensitivities of the T45 scenarios, we use our further improved models to examine how Germany can become greenhouse gas neutral by 2045, taking current political targets into account.

The following scenarios are presented here:

  • T45 Strom*
  • T45 PV+
  • T45 Dezentral
  • T45 RedH2SP

Electricity system

Germany

Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien
Stromsystem
Stromsystem

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Europe

Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild Stromsystem
Erkennungsbild Stromsystem

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Hydrogen system

Germany

Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien
Bild H2
Bild H2

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Europe

Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien
Bild H2
Bild H2

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Heat grids

Germany

Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien
Bild Wärmenetze
Bild Wärmenetze

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Europe

Speicher
Speicher
Symbolbild T45 Szenarien
Symbolbild T45 Szenarien

Many thanks to TU Wien for providing detailed data on the European building sector!

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Storage

Germany

Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien
Speicher
Speicher

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Europe

Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Strom*-Szenarien
Speicher
Speicher

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Report and webinar

Webinar (in German)

Wir bedanken uns für Ihr Interesse! Mehr als 460Teilnehmer haben  am Webinar zu den dezentralen Szenarien teilgenommen! In unseren Q&A-Kanal haben wir 220 Fragen beantwortet und bedanken uns für Ihre sehr aktive Teilnahme!

Team

Frank Sensfuß
Frank Sensfuß

Dr. Frank Sensfuß

Co-lead modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Wolfgang Männer
Wolfgang Männer

Wolfgang Männer

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Benjamin Lux
Benjamin Lux

Benjamin Lux

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Christiane Bernath
Christiane Bernath

Christiane Bernath

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Gerda Deac
Gerda Deac

Dr. Gerda Deac

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Joshua Fragoso García
Joshua Fragoso García

Dr. Joshua Fragoso García

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Miriam Frömel
Miriam Frömel

Miriam Frömel

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Dr. Christoph Luderer
Dr. Christoph Luderer

Dr. Christoph Luderer

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

The model

Enertile Logo
Enertile Logo

The coverage of the energy demand is calculated with the Enertile model. You can find more information here.

Model version in these scenarios

Methodology: Linear optimization Objective function: Minimum system costs Properties: Perfect forecast Support years: 2025, 2030,2035,2040,2045

Size of the equation system: Approx. 40 GB, approx. 60 million rows, 72 million columns, approx. 272 million nonzeros

CategoryElectricityHeat gridsGebäude mit WärmepumpenBuildings with heat pumpsElectricity distribution grids
Geographic coverageEuropeEuropeEuropeEuropeGermany
Regions in total2323232311
Regions in Germany1111111111
Temporal resolution8760 h per year8760 h per year8760 h per year8760 h per yearApprox. 3200h per year
Weather year20102010201020102010

T45 scenarios

Erkennungsbild T45-Szenraien
Erkennungsbild T45-Szenraien

The calculations for the T45 scenarios have started. With our models, which have been improved once again, we are investigating how Germany can become greenhouse gas neutral by 2045, taking into account current political goals.

The following scenarios are presented here.

  • T45-Electricity
  • T45-H2
  • T45-PtG/PtL
  • T45-RedEff
  • T45-RedGas

Electricity system

Germany

Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Europe

Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild Stromsystem
Erkennungsbild Stromsystem

Hydrogen system

Germany

Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien
Bild H2
Bild H2

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Europe

Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien
Bild H2
Bild H2

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Heat grids

Germany

Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien
Bild Wärmenetze
Bild Wärmenetze

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Europe

Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien
Symbolbild T45 Szenarien
Symbolbild T45 Szenarien

Thanks to TU Wien for providing us with detailed data on the European building sector.

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Storage

Germany

Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien
Speicher
Speicher

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Europe

Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild T45-Szenarien
Speicher
Speicher

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Reports and webinars

Webinars (in German)

Thank you for your interest ! More than 350 participants took part in the webinar on the energy supply! In our Q&A channel we answered 71 questions and thank you for your very active participation!

Thank you for your interest ! More than 750 participants took part in the webinar overview via stream and online conference! In our Q&A channel we answered 73 questions and thank you for your very active participation!

The team

Christoph Kiefer
Christoph Kiefer

Dr. Christoph Kiefer

Head of modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Frank Sensfuß
Frank Sensfuß

Dr. Frank Sensfuß

Co-lead modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Benjamin Lux
Benjamin Lux

Benjamin Lux

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Gerda Deac
Gerda Deac

Dr. Gerda Deac

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Christiane Bernath
Christiane Bernath

Christiane Bernath

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Joshua Fragoso García
Joshua Fragoso García

Dr. Joshua Fragoso García

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Wolfgang Männer
Wolfgang Männer

Wolfgang Männer

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

The model

The coverage of the energy demand is calculated with the Enertile model. You can find more information here.

Enertile Logo
Enertile Logo

TN scenarios

Erkennungsbild der TN-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild der TN-Szenarien

The TN scenarios were calculated in 2021. We examine different paths for Germany with the goal of becoming greenhouse gas neutral by 2050. Even though the targets have become more ambitious in the meantime, many insights can be gained from comparing the total of 9 scenarios calculated in high resolution. A special feature of this study is the integrated consideration of electricity and gas grids, as well as the full European resolution on the supply side.

We hope you enjoy exploring these paths!

Electricity system

Germany

Erkennungsbild TN-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild TN-Szenarien

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Europe

More data for Germany

Hydrogen system

Germany

Erkennungsbild TN-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild TN-Szenarien
Bild H2
Bild H2

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Europe

Erkennungsbild TN-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild TN-Szenarien
Bild H2
Bild H2

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Heat grids

Germany

Erkennungsbild TN-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild TN-Szenarien
Bild Wärmenetze
Bild Wärmenetze

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Europe

Erkennungsbild TN-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild TN-Szenarien
Bild Wärmenetze
Bild Wärmenetze

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Storage

Erkennungsbild TN-Szenarien
Erkennungsbild TN-Szenarien
Speicher
Speicher

Note:

Occasionally, there may be problems with the display of dashboards in the Chrome browser. In incognito mode (Ctrl-Shift+N), this error can usually be corrected.

Reports and webinars

Webinars

On 02.12.2021, more than 300 participants took part in the webinar on the scenario variants of the TN-Electricity and asked more than 120 questions in the chat. We thank you for your lively interest! You can find the slide set here

On 02.07.2021, more than 300 participants took part in the webinar on the energy supply. We thank you for your lively interest! You can find the slide set here

The team

Benjamin Lux
Benjamin Lux

Benjamin Lux

Head of modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Frank Sensfuß
Frank Sensfuß

Dr. Frank Sensfuß

Co-lead modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Christoph Kiefer
Christoph Kiefer

Dr. Christoph Kiefer

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Gerda Deac
Gerda Deac

Dr. Gerda Deac

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Benjamin Pfluger
Benjamin Pfluger

Dr. Benjamin Pfluger

Quality assurance  energy supply

Send an e-mail

Christiane Bernath
Christiane Bernath

Christiane Bernath

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

Joshua Fragoso García
Joshua Fragoso García

Dr. Joshua Fragoso García

Modelling energy supply

Send an e-mail

The model

The coverage of the energy demand is calculated with the Enertile model. You can find more information here .

Enertile Logo
Enertile Logo

ISI Logo
ISI Logo